Emergency Medicine Journal
● BMJ
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Emergency Medicine Journal's content profile, based on 21 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Lenihan, S.; Barr, M.; Coates, K.; Kedroff, L.; Battle, C.; Sorice, V.; Faghy, M. A.; Edwards, J.; Papaioannou, D.; Young, T.; Rombach, I.; Carlton, E.; Goodacre, S.; Mani, N.
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Background: Pain management post-rib fractures is often difficult. High pain levels can lead to altered respiratory mechanics and delayed complications such as poor mobility. Whilst as-needed Opioids are the mainstay of treatment, the potential negative side effects have led to research into alternatives such as kinesiotaping, single-shot chest wall regional anaesthesia, and incentive spirometry. Methods: A systematic review was undertaken using Medline (Ovid), Emcare, CINAHL, and the Cochrane Library. Article review and selection were undertaken by two independent reviewers using Covidence. Quality was assessed through the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT). Where appropriate, meta-analysis was undertaken using R studio with a REML random effects model. Forest plots were completed, and Higgins I2 and Chi2 were calculated. Results: Kinesiotaping demonstrates a reduced pain score than medication alone (SMD: -1.87, 95% CI [-2.65, -1.08]), as did single-shot chest wall regional anaesthesia (SMD: -0.79 [-1.15, -0.01]). The regional anaesthesia group had lower opioid consumption (SMD -0.84 [-2.18, 0.50]) and reduced length of hospital stay (SMD: -0.18 [-0.39, 0.03]) but no change in the risk of complications (RR: 0.92 [0.36, 2.36]). The incentive spirometry group had an increased risk of complications (RR: 3.35 [0.68, 16.44]); however, the causative effect could not be inferred due to significant confounding variables. Conclusions: Low-to-moderate certainty evidence suggests that kinesiotaping and single-shot chest wall regional anaesthesia may reduce pain in adult emergency department patients with rib fractures. However, evidence is insufficient to show a clear benefit for opioid reduction, length of stay, or complications. The current evidence does not support routine use of incentive spirometry in this setting, but the evidence is severely confounded by baseline injury severity in the current published studies.
McHenry, R. D.; Saunders, A.; Ahmad, F.; Mackay, D.
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Background Emergency Department (ED) crowding is an international crisis primarily driven by exit block. Point of care (POC) cardiac biomarker testing and reduced sampling intervals have been proposed to mitigate crowding by improving throughput, but whole-ED operational impacts remain poorly understood, and evaluations often rely on vulnerable observational designs. This study aimed to assess whether introducing POC high-sensitivity troponin testing and reduced sampling intervals changed whole-ED flow metrics, and to test the robustness of interrupted time series (ITS) methodology in this setting. Methods A multi-centre controlled interrupted time series (CITS) across two large urban intervention EDs and one untreated control ED in Glasgow, UK. The intervention combined whole-blood POC high-sensitivity troponin testing with a reduction in sampling intervals from 3 to 2 hours. Outcomes included daily ED admissions, mean occupancy, maximum occupancy, and mean length of stay. Analyses used a window of 120 days either side of each implementation date. Effects were evaluated using segmented ITS models, with and without controls, with permutation tests against 147 pre-intervention placebo dates. The minimum detectable effects of a similar study, applied to a national dataset, were simulated. Results Across 483,412 presentations to the intervention sites, the intervention produced no statistically significant change in any whole-ED flow metric against the untreated control at either site. Analysed alone, one intervention site appeared to show reductions in mean occupancy (-6.08, 95% CI -12.04 to -0.12) and maximum occupancy (-7.60, -14.47 to -0.73); the untreated control department produced reductions in the same direction at the same date, and both estimates attenuated to the null once the control was applied. Under a pre-specified 14-day transition specification the reductions in the untreated department reached statistical significance while those at the treated site did not. The study was limited by power due to the study window and limited control pool. Simulation demonstrated that a national dataset has the potential to provide operationally feasible and clinically important findings. Conclusion POC cardiac biomarker testing and reduced sampling intervals did not detectably improve whole-ED flow, though the design was underpowered. More importantly, uncontrolled ITS designs are highly vulnerable to confounding in complex healthcare systems; evaluations of operational interventions must utilise concurrent controls, and routinely report falsification tests.
McHenry, R. D.; Moultrie, C. E.
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Objectives Emergency Department (ED) crowding is an international concern, predominantly caused by 'exit block', the lack of availability of inpatient beds for those requiring admission. The implementation of Flow Navigation Centre Plus (FNC+) services in Scotland aimed to reduce self-presentation to EDs and reduce crowding by providing remote clinical assessment for patients contacting urgent care by telephone and professional-to-professional advice on patient pathways, but their effectiveness is unknown. This study aimed to estimate the effect of board-wide implementation of FNC+ on ED attendances and long waits during the first year of FNC+ operation. Methods Controlled interrupted time series using weekly, publicly reported Public Health Scotland data. The intervention was implementation of the FNC+ in NHS Lanarkshire on 1 April 2024. Counts were summed across constituent sites and percentages derived from board totals. Co-primary outcomes were ED attendance volume and the proportions of attendances spending more than 4, 8 and 12 hours in the department. Segmented regression was fitted with contemporaneous control boards, seasonal terms, and accounted for autoregression. Results 118 pre-intervention and 52 post-intervention weeks were analysed across all 3 EDs in the implementing board. Attendances showed no detectable step change (+1.20%; 95%CIs -0.66 to +3.10) relative to the counterfactual. The estimated effect increased across follow-up, however, changing by +3.95% over 52 weeks (95% CI +0.36 to +7.67%). There was no significant step change in the proportion of attendances waiting more than 4 hours following the intervention (+1.74%; 95%CIs -0.71 to 4.20%). Some transition and structural sensitivity analyses demonstrated significant deteriorations in ED performance, and increased attendances, in the year following implementation, and none demonstrated improvements. Conclusions Board-wide implementation of a Flow Navigation Centre Plus was not associated with a step change in ED attendances or in long waits, but there is some evidence that attendances increased and long waits increased in the year following implementation. Their provision of supply-sensitive care is a possible mechanism. Additionally, given their action at the point of input, aiming to divert patients from ED attendance, it is unlikely that such services could relieve a constraint due to exit block, the availability of inpatient care for those requiring admission.
Colbourne, A.; Dart, T.; Deakin, C. D.; Couper, K.; Smith, C. M.; Davies, S.; Hawley, K.; Pocock, H.; Miller, J.; Williams, L.; Price, S.; Rees, N.
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Background: Early defibrillation is a key factor of survival following out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). In the United Kingdom, initial anterior lateral (AL) defibrillator pad placement is standard practice. However, anterior posterior (AP) pad positioning has been proposed as a method of improving current flow through the myocardium particularly in cases of refractory ventricular fibrillation (VF). Concerns remain regarding potential delays to defibrillation associated with alternative pad placement strategies and the practical application of AP positioning. Objective: We conducted two consecutive simulation studies to explore whether there is a difference in the time taken to apply defibrillator pads, and placement accuracy, between AP and AL positions during simulated OHCA. Methods: This research study comprised of two simulation studies. First, we evaluated pad placement accuracy before and after written instruction showing optimal pad placement (RESTART SIM accuracy). Second, we undertook a randomised crossover examining time to pad placement, timing to successful pad application was recorded for each attempt (RESTART SIM speed). Results: RESTART SIM (accuracy) out of 14 participants 50% correctly placed AL pads and 14% correctly placed AP pads initially. Following provision of guidance this increased to 93% for AL but remained at 14% for AP placement. 9 participants completed RESTART SIM (speed). Mean AP pad placement time was 14.2 seconds and standard deviation of 2.64, compared with 10.6 seconds for AL placement and a standard deviation of 4.24. AP first strategy mean placement time was 15.3 seconds and mean AL placement time was 11.5 seconds. In AL first mean AP placement time was 12.8 seconds and mean AL placement time was 9.6 seconds. Conclusion: AP pad placement whilst slower than AL placement the time difference of 4 seconds is unlikely to be clinically significant. However, without guidance, both AL and AP placements were often inaccurate. After a guidance picture AL placement was increased but AP remained poorly placed.
Rees, N.; Angouri, J.; Ting, S. S. P.; Booker, M.; Nadeem, L.; Williams, L.; Rawlinson, D.
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Background Decision-making in emergency services involving the allocation of scarce resources is a key challenge for large, complex organisations required to prioritise demand against multiple, often competing criteria. Emergency Medical Dispatch is a case in point, where Enhanced and Critical Care Teams (ECCTs) represent a scarce and lifesaving clinical resource. Despite its operational and system-level significance, the allocation of ECCTs remains under-researched. Methods We conducted a methodological development study using the P.A.T.H.S. framework (Participants, Artefacts, Transition Stages, Historicity, Setting). We designed and piloted this in our previous work under the 999 R.E.S.P.O.N.D. project, which examined the decision-making process for ECCT dispatch. We applied P.A.T.H.S. to 17 dispatch cases (comprising 100 decision-making episodes). We analysed five data sources: recordings of emergency calls and internal dispatch-related interactions, sequence-of-events records, policy documents, and ethnographic observations. A four-phase analysis--indexing & data mapping, transcription & coding, charting, and synthesising & outputs--was undertaken taking Interactional Sociolinguistics as the theoretical approach and methodology. Results P.A.T.H.S. enables the mapping of non-linear, multifactorial textual trajectories across human and non-human actors. The case example presented herein illustrates how information on key risk indicators (e.g. mechanism of injury) were often delayed, fragmented, or lost between the caller, call-handler, and written records. P.A.T.H.S. provides a framework and analytical tool capturing the textual trajectory of information flow, and trace how dispatch decision making unfolds. We subsequently developed a template and codebook for other researchers to further study complex decision making in multi-actoral systems using a textual trajectory approach. Conclusion This methodological development work demonstrates the potential of P.A.T.H.S. to capture and clarify complex decision-making processes. P.A.T.H.S. offers a practical and theoretically grounded framework for future research, training, and policy that addresses risk points in communication between oral and written forms among teams of actors, to support optimal deployment of scarce resources.
van Eijk, J.; Schober, P.; van Schuppen, H.; ter Schure, J.
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We present our Stage-1 Registered Report as a full clinical trial article with all methods in past tense and including mock results, table and figures for the primary analysis. To remind the reader that this Stage-1 article is written before data collection, we highlight in color that these mock results are only for illustrative purposes and will be replaced by the actual results in the Stage-2 Registered Report. Background In patients experiencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, optimization of oxygen delivery during cardiopulmonary resuscitation is a critical. Although both positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) and zero end-expiratory pressure (ZEEP) are employed during CPR, their respective impacts on clinically relevant outcomes is yet to be clearly established. Methods This investigator-initiated, pragmatic, registry-based, multicenter, triple-blind randomized controlled superiority trial evaluates whether applying 8 cm H2O PEEP during cardiopulmonary resuscitation improves outcomes compared with ZEEP in adults with non-traumatic, non-drowning out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Pre-randomized CPR kits (1:1 PEEP vs. sham) were used by ambulance sites during manual ventilation throughout the resuscitation process. The primary analysis was conducted in the principal stratum of patients who received either a supraglottic airway or endotracheal tube. The primary outcome was neurological status at hospital discharge measured by a utility-weighted score on the modified Rankin Scale. Secondary outcomes included prehospital return of spontaneous circulation, 30-day survival, and 6-month quality of life. The primary safety outcome was clinically significant pneumothorax.
Witham, M.; Evison, F.; Bellass, S.; Cooper, R.; Gallier, S.; Pretorius, S.; Sapey, E.; Suklan, J.; Sayer, A. A.
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Study Objective Little is known about where in hospital care for multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) is delivered. We aimed to describe pathways of care (ward transfers) and outcomes for people admitted to hospital for unscheduled care by MLTC status and other key sociodemographic characteristics. Design and setting Analysis of routinely-collected electronic health records from a large acute UK hospital. Participants Adult unscheduled care admissions from 1st July 2018 to 30th June 2019. The presence of two or more of 59 long-term conditions was ascertained using ICD-10 codes from previous hospital discharges. Main outcome measures Markov state transition probabilities were derived for ward moves and compared for MLTC vs no MLTC, age, sex, ethnicity and neighbourhood deprivation. Outcomes (length of stay, death, readmission, move from definitive ward) and time spent in emergency and assessment departments were compared between subgroups. Results A total of 33,252 adults, mean age 56.0 (SD 21.9) years were analysed; 14,834 (42.4%) had MLTC. People with MLTC were more likely to die in hospital (4.2 vs 1.9%, p<0.001), transfer to internal medicine wards or older peoples medicine wards, were less likely to transfer to surgical wards, had longer median length of stay (1.83 vs 0.69 days, p<0.001), stayed longer in acute medical units (15.5 vs 9.6 hours, p<0.001), and were more likely to move from their definitive ward (18.2 vs 16.4%, p=0.002). Conclusion Unscheduled hospital care pathways are complex and differ for people with MLTC, who have worse outcomes and may be less likely to receive optimal care.
McHenry, R. D.; Caesar, D.; Clarke, B.; Mackay, D.; Pell, J.
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Objectives Emergency department (ED) crowding is recognised as an important public health concern internationally, and is driven principally by exit block, the shortage of inpatient beds for patients requiring admission. This study aimed to evaluate whether a complex intervention targeting hospital occupancy improved ED patient flow, and quantified the change in attendances. Methods A controlled interrupted time series using weekly, publicly reported Public Health Scotland data from 1 January 2022 to 1 February 2026. The multi-component intervention focused on reducing hospital occupancy and included additional adult social care funding; engagement with regional social care providers; accelerated implementation of the Discharge without Delay programme; re-evaluation of whole-hospital escalation thresholds and response; resource and data supporting inpatient department reductions in length of stay; and additional investment in remote clinical assessment. The intervention commenced at a large tertiary ED on 01 February 2025. Primary outcomes were the proportions of attendances spending [≥]4, [≥]8 and [≥]12 hours in the ED. The secondary outcome was attendance volume. Segmented regression was fitted with a contemporaneous control series, seasonal terms and autoregressive moving average errors. Long waits were additionally illustrated as potentially avoided deaths. Results The analysis covered 161 pre-intervention and 52 post-intervention weeks. Relative to pre-intervention levels, the proportion of attendances waiting over 4 hours fell by 10.4% (95% CI 1.6 to 19.2%), by 16.4% (95%CI 1.3 to 31.5%) over 8 hours and by 24.3% (95%CI 2.6 to 46.1%) over 12 hours. Using established associations between long ED waits and excess mortality, by one-year the intervention was potentially associated with 54 fewer excess deaths (95%CI 19 to 93). Attendances rose by 3.8% (95%CI 1.3 to 6.4%) against the counterfactual. Conclusions A complex intervention targeting hospital occupancy was associated with a reduction in long ED waits despite rising attendances. Interventions addressing hospital occupancy can meaningfully improve ED crowding.
Otte, J. H.; Cartagena, A.
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Background. A primary constraint on the capacity of EMS programs to meet industry demand is psychomotor instruction and verification, requiring direct observation of each student by a qualified evaluator. Whether AI video analysis can relieve it is untested; none has been applied to EMS skill examination or compared with human examiners. Objective. To quantify human EMS evaluator inter-rater reliability and evaluate an AI video-analysis platform against it. Methods. In a prospective, fully crossed study, five certified EMS evaluators and an AI platform independently scored identical video-recorded EMT performances of cervical collar application (n=15), bag-valve-mask (BVM) ventilation (n=14), and medical assessment (n=15) on dichotomous checklists with critical-failure criteria. Agreement was assessed at item, score, and decision levels using Fleiss' kappa, Krippendorff's alpha, Gwet's AC1, and ICC(2,1)/ICC(2,k). Results. Human item agreement was moderate (kappa 0.409 to 0.467), as was single-rater reliability (ICC(2,1) 0.539 to 0.694), against good panel reliability (ICC(2,k) 0.854 to 0.919). Recorded pass/fail agreement was fair (kappa 0.297 to 0.388) and critical-failure agreement near zero for two skills (kappa 0.028, 0.119). AI alignment tracked rubric observability rather than task complexity: r = 0.857 (collar, exceeding every human), -0.173 (BVM), 0.664 (medical), and it was most lenient on two skills. Conclusions. Human evaluators are an imperfect standard, especially on critical failures. The AI was a legitimate additional rater where checklist items were discrete and visually verifiable, but not where credit required judging continuous quantities such as ventilation rate, volume, or suction duration. Defensible uses are formative and archival, not summative. These results reflect an early, non-specialist configuration: a baseline, not a limit.
Krishna, A.; Rosetto, A.; Brohi, K.; Vulliamy, P.; Cole, E.
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Objective We aimed to evaluate the performance of the recently updated Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score-2 (SOFA-2) on organ dysfunction classification and prognostication compared to SOFA-1 in critically injured trauma patients. Methods Adult trauma patients admitted to critical care at four urban Major Trauma Centres between 2011 and 2024 were included. Daily organ dysfunction scoring was performed using SOFA-1 and SOFA-2 until death or discharge. The primary outcome was MODS, defined as SOFA score [≥]6. Results In 2162 severely injured patients (median Injury Severity Score 25 [IQR, 17-34]), SOFA-2 reduced the proportion of patients classified as having MODS compared with SOFA-1 (61.6% vs 68.5%, p<0.001). SOFA-2 scores on the first day after admission were lower than SOFA-1 (median 6 [IQR, 3-8] vs 7 [IQR, 4-10], p<0.001), driven predominantly by lower respiratory and cardiovascular scoring. Critical care mortality in trauma patients was increased in respiratory, cardiovascular and renal components of SOFA-2 at the higher ends of the scores, consistent with the aims of the SOFA-2 reclassification. A group of 159 severely injured patients (7.3%) classified as MODS by SOFA-1 were reclassified to no-MODS by SOFA-2. Despite this reclassification, these patients had substantially higher ICU mortality (7.5% vs 0.7%, p<0.01), greater ventilator and vasopressor requirements, and longer hospital stays than patients classified as no-MODS by both systems. Conclusions SOFA-2 reduces MODS prevalence in severely injured patients and changes organ dysfunction classification, with lower rates of severe respiratory and cardiovascular dysfunction. This represents an important update in trauma MODS measurement and has implications for future trauma trial design. However SOFA-2 reclassification generates a small cohort a small but clinically significant group with occult MODS that warrants further evaluation in severely injured trauma patients.
bolin, k.; Stibrant Sunnerhagen, K.
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Background The time trend in long-term survival after a stroke is to some extent unknow due to (relatively) short follow up periods in available data. The objective of this study is to identify and quantify differences in long-term stroke survival in Sweden between men and women and patients with different attained educational levels, comparing two time-periods, 2000-2009 and 2010-2022. Methods This study employs total population Swedish register data pertaining to hospital-based care and mortality due to stroke for the period 2000-2022 in order to estimate survival (all-cause mortality) after ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke, respectively, and pertaining to attained educational level. Kaplan-Meier survival functions are estimated stratifying for time-period, sex and educational level. Cox regressions are employed to quantify mortality hazard ratios between the strata. Age is taken into account in complementary analyses (supplement). Results Taking only time-period (2000-2009 vs 2010-2022) into account resulted in significantly higher survival in the second period for ischaemic stroke patients (HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.83-0.84), while no significant difference could be detected for haemorrhagic stroke. Stratifying for sex showed that men gained more than women in terms of reduced mortality hazard rate between the periods. Further stratifying by educational level and estimating survival separately for men and women showed that, for both men and women, patients with the lowest education were relatively worse off (compared to patients with higher education) in the second period. Further analyses, taking age into account, reversed the relative hazard ratio between men and women, but corroborated the result that low education is associated with poorer outcome than high education. Conclusions The results suggest that there are considerable differences in expected long-term survival after stroke between the sexes, but that this may be due to differences in age between the sexes at the time of stroke. Moreover, lower educational level is significantly associated with lower long-time survival.
Hauser, K. A.; Degesys, N. F.; Isaacs, E. D.; Tang, M.; Swartzberg, J.; Panopulos, V.; Martin, A. M.; Liu, V. X.; Schlessinger, D.; Samady, N. A.; Malhotra, R.; Plimier, C.; Hadadianpour, A.; Erickson, M. D.; James, T.; Rogers, S.; Adler-Milstein, J.; Thombley, R.; Rosenthal, S.; Harris, A. R.; Hardy, J.; Raven, M.; Singh, M.; Kim, C.; Perry, R.; Clevenger, E.; Carvajal, C.; Babino, D.; Gray, A.; Shapiro, M.; Chan, T.; Allore, H.; Meeker, D.; Tomasino, D.; Grogan, E. F.; Pepper, A.; Wellons, M.; Hwang, U.
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Background: Three San Francisco health system emergency departments have developed Geriatric Emergency Department (GED) models of care programs supporting and providing care for emergency department (ED) patients at risk for or living with dementia. Each system recognized: 1) the high proportion of older adult ED patients and those at risk for dementia, 2) the need to identify cognitive impairment in older adult ED patients, 3) the importance of developing approaches to connect older adult ED patients and their care partners with resources and diagnostic specialty services. Methods: We describe how each hospital adopted and implemented pragmatic GED models of care to support and improve care for ED patients at risk or living with dementia. We also report the proportion of ED encounters made by patients with dementia histories and the number of these reached by GED programs. Results: Three San Francisco hospitals (a tertiary care, critical access, and large integrated health system-community ED) independently implemented GED programs to support and enhance emergency care for patients living with dementia. Each uses screening and assessment tools to identify patients at risk for cognitive impairment. Each captures screening and assessment data to facilitate care and resources for post-discharge care, ensuring coordinated transitions and support for older adults. Programs varied by target patient population age and staff and resource allocation to support program goals. Site-specific pathways differed by location, patient populations, and support from geriatrics, emergency medicine, palliative medicine, neurology, psychiatry, pharmacy, referral processes, and/or pastoral care. Conclusions: Developing GED care interventions that facilitate care for patients at risk of or living with dementia is possible and sustainable when the pathway aligns with health system leadership goals through persistent value demonstration, communication, and promotion. Ultimately, developing and disseminating models of GED care is designed to address geriatric syndromes inclusive of dementia care through continuous quality improvement.
Chowdhury, A. R.; Chowdhury, B.
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Background: Consumer use of AI chatbots for health advice is rising, yet triage safety relative to established services remains unclear. Australia's Healthdirect, a government-backed symptom checker with 2.4 million uses in FY2024-25, remains unevaluated against frontier large language models (LLMs), and whether premium subscriptions improve triage safety remains unexplored. This study compared the triage accuracy and safety of Healthdirect against six LLM configurations across ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, assessed whether paid subscriptions improve triage safety, and characterised each system's error patterns. Methods: Forty-five clinical vignettes from the Semigran et al. benchmark spanning emergency, non-emergent, and self-care categories (15 each) were evaluated across seven systems. Healthdirect was tested following a seven-rule interaction protocol. LLMs were evaluated using first-person patient-language prompts under free-tier and paid-tier conditions. Outcomes were triage accuracy, emergency sensitivity, under-triage, and critical misses, analysed using Cochran's Q, Bonferroni-corrected McNemar tests, Cohen's kappa, and Wilson intervals. Findings: Triage accuracy differed significantly (Cochran's Q = 36.79, p < 0.001). Healthdirect achieved 48.9% accuracy (95% CI 35.0% to 63.0%; kappa = 0.233) versus 73.3% to 86.7% for LLMs (kappa = 0.600 to 0.800). Healthdirect operated under conservative interactive defaults while LLMs received complete information in a single prompt, which may have disadvantaged Healthdirect. Emergency sensitivity was 46.7% versus 80.0% to 86.7% for LLMs. Healthdirect produced two critical misses; no LLM produced any across 270 evaluations (95% CI 0% to 1.4%). When LLMs undertriaged, they recommended GP care rather than self-care. No tier differences were significant (all p > 0.05), and most systems over-triaged self-care cases. Interpretation: Frontier LLMs demonstrated higher triage accuracy and safer error profiles than Healthdirect. All LLMs avoided critical misses; Healthdirect did not. Premium subscriptions did not significantly improve triage safety. These findings support clinical governance decisions about whether LLMs warrant formal evaluation alongside government-backed symptom checkers.
Rahimi-Ardabili, H.; Brooke-Cowden, K.; Chan, A.; Parnis, S.; Bell, O.; Foong, L. H.; Coiera, E.
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Introduction: Extreme heat increasingly threatens older adults, particularly those with chronic conditions, yet generic heat-health advice may not be sufficiently timely or relevant to individual needs. This feasibility study describes a prototype and assesses the feasibility of a location-triggered, disease-specific heatwave short message service (SMS) intervention tailored to common heat-vulnerability conditions, compared with generic heatwave SMS advice. Methods: Mixed-methods feasibility study comprising a parallel two-arm 1:1 randomised controlled trial and post-heatwave focus groups. Community-dwelling Australians aged [≥]65 years in New South Wales, Victoria or South Australia with at least one eligible chronic condition (cardiovascular diseases, respiratory conditions, diabetes, and chronic kidney diseases) and a smartphone were recruited in summer 2026. Based on an initial codesign, participants received a 'prepare' SMS after enrolment and, when Bureau of Meteorology heatwave warnings were triggered, messages before, during and after heatwaves. Control participants received generic 'standard care' heat-health advice; intervention participants received condition-tailored messages and could request additional information via SMS codes. Outcomes were collected via baseline and post-heatwave surveys and thematic analysis of focus groups. Results: Seventy-three participants enrolled (36 control; 37 intervention); attrition was 9.6%. Intervention engagement was strong: 61% requested additional information, with frequent free-text replies and multi-condition requests indicating preference for more conversational interaction. Eight participants were heatwave-exposed and completed post-heatwave surveys (4 per arm), with a high usability score (median of 85/100). Among these 8 participants, 7 reported adopting heat-protective health behaviours; the most common were drinking more water (6/7). More total actions were reported in the intervention group (11 vs 8). No adverse effects were reported. Conclusion: A location-triggered, disease-tailored heatwave SMS system for older adults with chronic conditions was feasible, acceptable and highly usable, with high engagement and no harms. Findings support a larger trial and suggest benefits from tailored messaging.
Cornett, C.; Tilston, G.; Martin, G.; Palin, V.
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Background: Maternal postpartum checks with a general practitioner (GP) are recognised as an essential service in England and vital for recovery after pregnancy and reducing risk of long-term morbidity. Despite this, its reported fewer than of women have a record of the examination in the recommended 6-8 weeks, with observed disparities in uptake nationally. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted delivery of these checks nationally, but there is limited data on the impact of the pandemic and its recovery for regional populations representing diversity and areas of dense poverty and ethnic minority populations. This study utilised region level data to assess the impact of COVID-19 on postnatal care. Methods: Anonymised electronic health records with clinical coded birth events for females, aged 16-49 years, were analysed for patients registered with a GP using the Greater Manchester Care Record (GMCR) between January 2018 and August 2023. Unique delivery episodes were defined and monthly rates calculated separately for women with a postnatal-related code within 4-, 6-, 8-, or 12-weeks or 1 year follow-up. Rates were also generated by key maternal demographics to assess any differences in postpartum care. Interrupted time series, modelling the onset of the pandemic estimated the IRR of 0.49 (95% CI 0.40-0.58). To assess the impact of maternal characteristics on the odds of non-attendance at examination, a logistic regression adjusting for various maternal characteristics was fitted. Results: There were 114,874 unique delivery episodes, relating to 85,076 women in the 12-week follow up cohort; 72,595 episodes to 55,784 women in 8-weeks and 28,846 episodes to 24,018 women in 6-weeks. The rate of postpartum checks was greater the longer the follow-up period. For checks within 8 weeks the first lockdown reduced from ~325 per 1000 delivery episodes in 2019 to 225 per 1000 by April 2020 (30.8%), which remained low, before returning to pre-pandemic rates by rates by October 2022. Rates remained lower overall for Black, or Asian women compared to White. Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic reduced postnatal follow-up in primary care across Greater Manchester, with rates frequently falling outside the recommended 6-8 week window. Significant disparities exist in the provision and uptake of these services. Improved integration of data across care sites, combined with enhanced risk management, could increase equity in access and support the timely delivery of care for those at greatest risk of postnatal complications and longer-term health issues.
Parfitt, C.; Kirk, E.; Stanley, S.; Nwosu, A. C.
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Background Falls are a major safety concern in healthcare. In palliative care, patients are particularly vulnerable due to complex symptom burdens and rapid physical decline. However, standard falls risk assessment tools, primarily designed for acute clinical environments, rely on static risk scores and lack efficacy in hospice settings. The Falls Early Warning Score (FEWS) is a observational tool developed to address the specific contributing factors and complex needs of palliative patients. Aims To explore and understand staff views regarding the implementation, utility, and benefits of the FEWS tool to identify people at risk of falling in a specialist palliative care inpatient unit. Methods A mixed-methods study was conducted at a UK hospice. Healthcare professionals with clinical experience using the FEWS chart completed an electronic questionnaire assessing their confidence, practice, and perceived barriers. Questionnaire outcomes informed subsequent face-to-face, semi-structured interviews. Qualitative data were evaluated using reflexive thematic analysis. Results Eleven staff completed the questionnaire, and five participated in interviews. Three major themes were identified: (1) Education, highlighting staff preferences for 1:1 training and the necessity of dedicated user guides; (2) Location and format of the FEWS tool, contrasting the data collection benefits of electronic formats against the bedside accessibility of paper charts; and (3) Recognised benefits of the FEWS tool, including its ability to prompt safe staffing levels, highlight variable patient presentation, and mitigate the emotional and physical impact of falls. Conclusions It is feasible and highly acceptable to integrate bespoke falls risk assessment tools into palliative care. By addressing the unique complexities of hospice patients, customised tools like FEWS can empower staff and support dynamic clinical decision-making. Further research is required to evaluate their clinical efficacy in reducing falls.
McGurn, C.; George, L.
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Objectives: This study aimed to examine physiotherapy students reaction and learning, following Simulation Based Education (SBE) during a Cardiorespiratory module. A further aim was to see if any learning translated into clinical placement. Design: A mixed methods research design consisting of a questionnaire (Phase1) after the activity which was underpinned by the Kirkpatrick model of evaluation. This was followed by a focus groups (Phase 2) after completion of clinical placement. Participants: 92 final year physiotherapy students at a single institution were eligible to participate in the SBE session with n=81 (88%) students completing the survey, and 8 students participating across 2 focus group sessions. Results: Survey: Over 80% of students strongly agreed on a positive initial reaction to SBE. Learning yielded a 76% and above response of strongly agree in all areas except confidence. Students valued SBE as a preferred learning and teaching strategy and wanted more. They welcomed SBE as a supplement but not substitute for clinical placement. Students felt skills learned could be transferred into all areas of clinical practice,, namely communication and decision making. Conclusion: Students rated SBE positively with development of transferable non-technical skills. Reaction to SBE was high in terms of relevance, engagement and satisfaction. Self-perceived confidence, although positive, was the comparatively lowest scoring of the domains. Students advocated SBE as a supplement rather than a substitute for clinical placement preferring a hybrid approach. Contribution of the Paper: Adds to the positive body of evidence which already exists towards SBE, especially in the development of non-technical skills. Suggestions are made that SBE cant make students feel fully confident in preparation for clinical placement. While students in this study expressed that they wanted more SBE and earlier, this paper found that students would not advocate SBE replacing clinical placement.
Sierpe, A.; Yen, R. W.; Milliman, A.; Cady, E.; Ahn, B.; Dade, A. E.; Devito, A. M.; Eckert, B. A.; Gopalan, V. V.; Krasinski, S. C.; MacMartin, M. A.; Musacchio, S. G.; Zhang, J.; Saunders, C. H.
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Background Agenda-setting is a fundamental patient-centered communication practice in which a clinician works with a patient to elicit, propose, and organize topics for discussion during a clinical encounter. Various agenda-setting interventions have been developed, including patient-facing tools and clinician training, but their effects have not been systematically evaluated. We aimed to determine the effects of these interventions on encounter, patient, care partner, and clinician outcomes. Methods We searched grey literature and seven databases, including PubMed, from inception through July 2025 for randomized and non-randomized comparative studies of interventions designed to promote or improve clinical visit agenda-setting. Two reviewers independently screened articles and extracted data, with a third reviewer resolving conflicts. We assessed risk of bias using RoB 2 for randomized studies and ROBINS-I for non-randomized studies. We conducted random effects meta-analyses when outcomes were sufficiently comparable, assessed heterogeneity using I2, and rated certainty of evidence using GRADE. Post hoc exploratory subgroup analyses examined study design, adjustment status, and intervention structure. Results Twenty-nine articles describing 22 unique studies met the inclusion criteria, including 13 randomized and nine non-randomized studies. Agenda-setting interventions increased the occurrence of agenda-setting (risk ratio 5.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.06 to 14.28, I2=34.6%) and favored the intervention for concerns addressed when measured as a continuous outcome (standardized mean difference (SMD) 0.37, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.57, I2=65.3%) and overall clinician satisfaction (SMD 0.50, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.78, I2=0.0%). There were no clear differences in the number of concerns raised (mean difference (MD) 0.21, 95% CI -0.19 to 0.61, I2=59.6%), visit duration (MD 0.64 minutes, 95% CI -0.83 to 2.12, I2=51.4%), or overall patient satisfaction (SMD 0.05, 95% CI -0.05 to 0.15, I2=47.0%). Potentially important heterogeneity was present for four of these six outcomes. Post hoc exploratory subgroup analyses did not provide clear evidence that effects varied by study design, adjustment status, or intervention structure. Risk of bias was often high, serious, or critical, and certainty of evidence was low or very low for all pooled outcomes. Conclusions To our knowledge, this is the first comprehensive synthesis of clinical visit agenda-setting interventions. Such interventions may increase the occurrence of agenda-setting and the extent to which patient concerns are addressed without increasing visit length. However, the certainty of evidence was low or very low, and the available evidence does not establish a superior intervention structure.
Woodhouse, L. J.; Mhlanga, I. I.; Roadevin, C.; Benfield, J. K.; Everton, L. F.; Wilkinson, G.; Greatrex, S.; Skinner, C. J.; Squires, G.; Buck, A.; Latulipe, C.; Cadman, K. M.; Sprigg, N.; Krishnan, K.; Appleton, J. P.; Matz, K.; Iversen, H. K.; Mistry, S.; James, M.; England, T. J.; Hamdy, S.; Montgomery, A. A.; Bath, P. M.
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Introduction Post stroke dysphagia is common, associated with poor functional outcome and lacks treatment strategies beyond behaviour therapies delivered by speech & language therapists. Here, we present the statistical analysis plan for the ongoing pharyngeal electrical stimulation for acute stroke dysphagia trial (PhEAST). PES is a candidate treatment for dysphagia present in non-ventilated stroke patients. Methods PhEAST is an investigator-initiated international prospective randomised open-label blinded-endpoint phase-4 superiority trial involving 650 participants with tube-dependent post-stroke dysphagia. Consenting patients are randomised to PES versus no PES given on top of standard care with PES given daily for 6 days. The primary outcome is the dysphagia severity rating scale (DSRS), a measure of swallowing impairment, made at days 14 and 90 and analysed using repeated measures regression. Conclusion We present the statistical analysis plan for the main analyses based on data up to day 90 along with planned secondary analyses including presentation of baseline data, health economics, cognition and extended follow-up to 12 months.
Rajasingam, S. L.; Macdonald, P.; Sethi, J.; Taylor-Gonzalez, A.; Hall, A.; Meyenburg, I. T.
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Background: Internationally, workforce planning models are focussed on balancing supply and demand, rarely addressing factors such as demographic shifts and evolving health needs. There is a clear imperative for improved workforce planning to ensure adequate staff numbers to deliver audiology safely and effectively but there is still no consensus on safe minimum staffing levels or the optimal skill mix for high-quality audiology services. Methods: This research aimed to establish markers of quality in audiology service provision and estimate the audiology workforce requirements to meet current and projected demand for services, based on population changes and anticipated changes in demand. Following stakeholder engagement, a needs-based model was developed by (1) analysing NHS England's national Audiology stocktake dataset to determine current workforce, (2) creating an epidemiological model to predict changes in service population over next 5 and 10 yrs (3) use of BAA endorsed estimates delivered in East of England on staff grade required per activity. [SR1.1] Results: The estimates for 10-year adult and paediatric audiology whole time equivalent (WTE) safe minimum staffing levels for England (bands 2-7, current waiting times maintained) based on a population change model (Model 1), and two further models for paediatrics specifically (Model 2 and Model 3) were as follows: for adult audiology Model 1 estimates a 7.40% increase by 2035 (to 1125.18 WTE). For paediatric audiology Model 1 estimates a -6.3% (to 593.47 WTE) decrease due to underlying paediatric population decline in England, whereas the case complexities considered in Model 2 (1072.33 WTE) and Model 3 estimate a 10-year increase of 71.23% ( to 1072.33 WTE) and 59.17% (to 996.82 WTE) respectively. Conclusions: This is the first study to conduct a needs-based assessment of workforce requirements for audiology services. Given the substantial need for audiology staff, investment in workforce recruitment and training is essential to ensure that future activity levels meet population needs. Consideration of changing demographics is required for planning future workforce specialisation. Further analysis to address workforce equity, the impact of changes in skill mix and service delivery models and local area demographics/prevalence variation is required alongside potential efficiencies.